Saturday, January 31, 2015

Weather: Forecast, Prediction or Fortune telling?

The art of Fortune telling or ‪#‎Weatherforecasts‬!

‪#‎Forecasting‬ is an extrapolation of past into the future while prediction is judgmental and takes into account changes taking place in the future. Therefore, ‪#‎prediction‬ is utilized more in business and economics while forecasting takes place in weather and earthquakes.

Unless you believe in Ancient priest idolatry, glass balls or witch doctors, take all predictions and forecasts with a skeptical eye and understand That Nature has her own way when she finally gets down to it.


Example of snow tomorrow night: ” said the National Weather Service’s New York office in Upton of Sunday night and Monday. ”Highest across southern CT and lower Hudson Valley...lowest across Long Island. However...these specific snow amounts are uncertain and the confidence level is around 40-45 percent...the higher percentage being across the interior zones.”

Feel better now? Me, I like the crystal ball.

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